Average absolute gap error
MACHINE LEARNING. RACING INSTINCT.
READ THE PACE.
ANTICIPATE
THE GRID.
The story of qualifying starts in practice.
We turn the laps into a forecast. You see the bigger picture.
✓ Public data / Preserved predictions / Open methodology
The next race awaits
Checking the public schedule
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UP NEXT
Awaiting confirmed schedule
Lights: 7d → 24h → 6h → 1h → 5m. All out at the scheduled start.
Last verified: — · refresh every 5 minutes.
Monitored weekend
Las Vegas Grand Prix 🇺🇸
2026 · Round 21
Forecast monitoring active
Apex Pulse is monitoring the conventional practice-to-qualifying schedule for the next guarded prediction window.
01 / THE PIT WALL
Less noise.
More racing intelligence.
One clear view of the model’s call.
Explore a driver. Check the outcome.
See where the prediction stands.
Last completed prediction
Bahrain Grand Prix 🇧🇭
2026 · Kuala Lumpur · Kuala Lumpur
Weekend progression
Practice to qualifying
- FP1
Completed
Oct 2, 04:30 AM
- FP2
Completed
Oct 2, 08:00 AM
- FP3
Completed
Oct 3, 04:30 AM
- Qualifying
Completed
Oct 3, 08:00 AM
Status reflects exported artifact availability, not lap-by-lap live coverage.
In predicted order. ↑ Higher ↓ Lower = MatchedArrows compare the official qualifying position with the prediction.
- P1+3.080sP4↓ 3Lower
- P2+3.089sP1↑ 1Higher
- P3+3.191sP3=Matched
- P4+3.328sP8↓ 4Lower
- P5+3.467sP5=Matched
- P6+3.615sP2↑ 4Higher
- P7+4.002sP6↑ 1Higher
Model gap = estimated seconds to the pole benchmark. Arrows compare the official position with the prediction; rows stay in predicted order.
02 /THE CHEQUERED FLAG
The forecast meets
the finish line.
A prediction is only half the story.
Here is how this forecast
compared with qualifying.
Average positions missed per driver
Top-five overlap, regardless of order
Top-ten overlap, regardless of order
This weekend only · 22/22 entrants covered · Not an estimate of overall model performance. Decorative graphics are not historical trends.
Explore the track record ↗Artifact details
- Artifact lifecycle
- settled
- Export timestamp
- 2026-10-03T09:46:51.977838+00:00
- Protocol version
- 1.0
- Checkpoint identifier
- after_fp3
- Forecast training policy
- uniform
- Registry lineage
- valid_registry_lineage
- Preflight status
- ready_to_forecast
- Protocol fingerprint
- 9b622b043c073d2a
- Settlement valid
- Yes
Weekend & data notes4 weekends without a forecast
Recent weekends without a forecast
- São Paulo Grand PrixPractice timing data could not be loaded before qualifying. No retrospective prediction was added.
- Mexico City Grand PrixPractice timing data could not be loaded before qualifying. No retrospective prediction was added.
- United States Grand PrixPractice timing data could not be loaded before qualifying. No retrospective prediction was added.
- Singapore Grand PrixThis weekend format is not supported by the FP3 model.
Prediction policy: season-aware selection is enabled after 5 eligible, settled events in the current season. Earlier forecasts use Uniform.
Data sources & methodology ↗03 / UNDER THE HOOD
Built on data.
Driven by curiosity.
No crystal ball. No private team data.
Just a transparent machine learning project
exploring the pace before qualifying.
01↗
Listen to the laps.
Practice timing, representative laps, relative pace and session context become interpretable features.
PRACTICE → FEATURES02↗
Find the signal.
A tabular model estimates qualifying gaps. Historical features use only information available before the weekend.
FEATURES → FORECAST03⚑
Face the stopwatch.
The preserved forecast is compared with the qualifying result. Errors, missing drivers and limitations stay visible.
FORECAST → EVIDENCEAN INDEPENDENT PROJECT BY MATTEO SGOBBA
A little obsession.
A lot of race data.
Exploring what machine learning can read between the laps.
Built in the open, for the love of the sport.

